Publication in Science of The Total Environment
09/20/2023Our new publication in Science of The Total Environment addresses the question of how climate change affects food security in large parts of tropical and subtropical Africa. Based on statistical and physical models, it was shown that in the past, using West Africa as an example, up to 51% of the variability of maize harvests was determined by climatic constraints. As a consequence, assuming the emission scenario RCP8.5, a decrease of maize production by 20 % until the end of the century has to be expected.
Bangelesa, F., Pollinger, F., Sponholz, B., Mapatano, M. A., Hatløy, A., and Paeth, H. (2023): „Statistical-dynamical modeling of the maize yield response to future climate change in West, East and Central Africa using the regional climate model REMO”. Science of The Total Environment, 905, 167265. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.167265
